Survival Framework & DCA Simulator β Educational Tool
BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB
β’ Fundamental kuat
β’ Institutional support
β’ Mining/staking cost floor
β’ Track record recovery 5+ tahun
β’ Tidak mungkin delist di Binance
Liq BTC: $20kβ30k OK
Liq ETH: $1,500 OK
Meme Coin, AI Agent, Altcoin kecil
β’ Bisa drop -90% kapan saja β TERBUKTI
β’ Bisa delist tanpa warning
β’ Tim bisa rug pull
β’ Narasi bisa mati dalam semalam
β’ X/Twitter account bisa banned
PIPPIN, PEPE, WIF, dll β "--" ONLY
Dengan cross margin, liq price bergantung pada:
Liq_P = (Total_Cost β Balance) / (Qty Γ 0.995)
Selama Balance β₯ Total Cost β Liq = "--"
High leverage = margin kecil = lebih banyak free balance = kapasitas DCA lebih besar TANPA menciptakan liq price.
Setiap DCA yang membuatTotal Cost > Balance
menciptakan liq price NYATA.
Untuk shitcoin: setiap DCA yang menciptakan liq price = taruhan berbahaya. Karena harga bisa terus turun -50% lagi.
Rule: Jika total cost mendekati balance β STOP DCA.
| Koin | Kategori | Max Drop Historis | Delist Risk | Liq Price | Alasan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | ESTABLISHED | β84% | Hampir 0% | BOLEH | Mining cost floor, ETF, 15yr history |
| ETH | ESTABLISHED | β82% | Hampir 0% | BOLEH | Ekosistem terbesar, staking floor |
| XRP | ESTABLISHED | β94% | Sangat kecil | HATI-HATI | Pernah -94%, tapi survived 10yr+ |
| BNB | SEMI-SAFE | β90% | Kecil | HATI-HATI | Binance ekosistem, tapi centralized |
| SOL | SEMI-SAFE | β97% | Kecil | HATI-HATI | Ekosistem solid tapi pernah hampir mati |
| PIPPIN | MEME/AI | β89% (YTD) | ADA (X suspended) | "--" WAJIB | Meme coin, X banned, whale dump confirmed |
| PEPE / WIF / BONK | MEME | > β90% | Tinggi | "--" WAJIB | Narasi-driven, bisa mati kapan saja |
| Altcoin Kecil | HIGH RISK | > β90% | SedangβTinggi | "--" WAJIB | Market cap kecil, mudah dimanipulasi |